Archive for the ‘James Blodgett on...’ Category

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LUIS SANCHO, et al., ) Civil No. ____________

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Plaintiffs ) AFFIDAVIT OF JAMES R. BLODGETT) IN SUPPORT OF TRO ANDvs. Sale yagara (herbal viagra), ) PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION)

US DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY, et al., ) )

Defendants )

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I, James R, discount yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. Blodgett, affirm, Cheap yagara (herbal viagra) pharmacy, state and declare under penalty of perjury of the laws of the state of Hawaii as follows:


1. I am Coordinator of the "Global Risk Reduction Special Interest Group" in American Mensa, Contact Person and Webmaster for www.risk-evaluation-forum.org, a member of the Ethics Board for the Lifeboat Foundation, and a member of the Society for Risk Analysis, buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. I have a Master of Science degree in Biometry and Statistics from the School of Public Health at the University at Albany, State University of New York; a Master of Business Administration degree from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; and a Master of Arts degree in Sociology from the University at Albany, State University of New York.


2, yagara (herbal viagra) pharmacy. I have been working on issues of existential risk, that is, Yagara (herbal viagra) generic, risks to the very existence of the human species, risks that could make the human race extinct, for several years. One of these risks is the risk that upcoming particle colliders could create particles that could destroy the Earth, yagara (herbal viagra) overnight. Two of the particles that are predicted by some theories that might do this are micro black holes and strangelets. Buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription, The collider of concern is the Large Hadron Collider [LHC] at CERN, which is currently scheduled to begin operation in the summer of 2008. This collider will be several times more powerful that existing colliders. Yagara (herbal viagra) online cheap, Because of this, it is expected to probe beyond the standard model of physics and to produce particles that have not previously been seen by scientists.


3. There has been a controversy about the safety of colliders at least since 1999, when Scientific American published a letter to the editor by Walter Wagner, order yagara (herbal viagra) overnight delivery, with a responding letter by Frank Wilczek. Collider advocates have continued to maintain that colliders are safe. At times some collider advocates appear to have ignored and even covered up evidence to the contrary, buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. Discount yagara (herbal viagra), "Many, indeed most, of them seemed to me to be more concerned with the public relations impact of what they, or others, buy yagara (herbal viagra) in us, said and wrote, than in making sure the facts were presented with complete scientific objectivity." [Francesco Calogero, Cheapest yagara (herbal viagra) price, "Might a Laboratory Experiment Destroy Planet Earth?" Interdisciplinary Science Reviews 25, 191-202 (Autumn 2000)]


4. Initially it appeared (even to Wagner) that black hole creation would require energy beyond the reach of any collider. This is the position of Brookhaven’s "nothing can go wrong" paper, purchase yagara (herbal viagra) online. [Busza et al, "Review of Speculative ‘Disaster Scenarios'", Buy yagara (herbal viagra) overnight delivery, Brookhaven, 2000]


5. Buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription, Beginning in 2000, a large number of physics papers were published, based on new string theory, predicting (if the relevant theories are true) creation of miniature black holes at colliders.


6. In approximately 2003, I used Google to search for material pertaining to black holes at colliders, cheap yagara (herbal viagra) from canada. As part of its listing of search results, Google offers users the option of looking at a cache of the webpage at the time it was scanned by Google. Yagara (herbal viagra) vendors, I found the following material in a Google cache of a CERN beta website that contained brief descriptions of presentations at the Atlas Lund workshop in 2001. "John Ellis was given a yellow card and cautioned by the convener during his theory introduction when he mentioned the possibility of black hole production as a signature in some extra-dimension models. The mention of the controversial term has been banned since the heavy ion media frenzy two years ago which resulted in the average teenager's expertise being extended from dungeons and dragons, Pokemon, and Gameboy, to include earth-engulfing black holes at RHIC." When I looked at the underlying web page, this material had been removed.


7, buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. The ban on the term "black hole" was not successful. I guess that this is because there were too many papers predicting black hole production at colliders, find yagara (herbal viagra) on internet. By 2003 collider advocates were touting the great science that could be accomplished if black holes were created by colliders. A CERN "nothing can go wrong" paper, Yagara (herbal viagra) prices, [Blaizot et al, "Study Of Potentially Dangerous Events During Heavy-Ion Collisions At The LHC: Report Of The LHC Safety Study Group" CERN, 2003] anticipated black hole production, but maintained that black holes will dissipate by "thermal processes, yagara (herbal viagra) pills," which in this context means Hawking radiation. Hawking radiation was also mentioned as a safety factor by several other sources.


Buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription, 8. It was surprising to me that CERN would rely on Hawking radiation as a safety factor, Yagara (herbal viagra) prescription, since even in 2003 it was well known that Hawking radiation was totally theoretical and had never been seen. The probability that it would work did not seem adequate to protect Earth. I wondered how physicists would judge this probability. In 2004, cheap yagara (herbal viagra) in usa, I circulated a series of questionnaires in which I asked Ph.D. physicists to estimate the probability that Hawking radiation would fail, buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. Those who responded estimated that probability as follows: 0, Order generic yagara (herbal viagra), 0, 1E-10, 0.001, 0.01, cheap yagara (herbal viagra) pill, 0.01, 0.01, Yagara (herbal viagra) canada, 0.02, 0.02, 0.07, 0.1, price of yagara (herbal viagra), 0.1, 0.3, Purchase yagara (herbal viagra), 0.35, and 0.5. (Five of these responded to a questionnaire that asked for the probability that Hawking radiation would work, rather than the probability that it would fail, find yagara (herbal viagra) online. Their responses are subtracted from one here to give the probability of failure.) At the time I circulated these questionnaires I was unaware, and respondents were apparently unaware, Yagara (herbal viagra) online pharmacy, of two physics papers that appeared at about that time that questioned the theory behind Hawking radiation. [Adam D. Buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription, Helfer, "Do Black Holes Radiate?" Reports on Progress in Physics, Vol. 66 No. 6 (2003) pp, buy discount yagara (herbal viagra). 943-1008; and William G. Unruh and Ralf Schützhold, Cheapest yagara (herbal viagra) online, "On the Universality of the Hawking Effect," Physics Review D 71 (2005) 024028] Had we known of these papers, it seems likely that respondents would have estimated the probability of the failure of theoretical Hawking radiation to work as predicted to be somewhat higher.


9. Discussions of collider risk have appeared in several books and several papers, including in Sir Martin Rees’ "Our Final Hour", (Basic Books, 2003); and in Richard A, buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. Posner’s "Catastrophe: Risk and Response" (Oxford University Press, buy yagara (herbal viagra) pills, 2004). Most such discussions conclude that the risk is low, Order cheap yagara (herbal viagra) online, but that the risk is nevertheless important because of expected value considerations. (Expected value is the product of probability times value, or negative value in this case. Expected value is used by decision theorists to evaluate decisions, buy cheap yagara (herbal viagra). Buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription, In the case of destruction of Earth, any reasonable probability results in an enormous negative expected value.) I would say that the risk is somewhat higher than these authors consider, since they did not take into consideration some of the safety factors that subsequently evaporated. I would not say that the risk is high, since the theories that permit trouble appear to be a relatively small subset of the set of all possible theories. No rx yagara (herbal viagra), But I would say that there is definitely a risk, and that the risk is considerably higher that was thought until recently. Most of the authors who have written on the subject agree that there is a risk.


10. CERN's Chief Scientific Officer, yagara (herbal viagra) free sample, Jos Engelen, was recently quoted in The New Yorker as instructing CERN scientists not to say that the risk from colliders is low, Yagara (herbal viagra) in us, but to say that the risk is zero. [Elizabeth Kolbert, "Crash Course," The New Yorker, May 14, 2007], buy yagara (herbal viagra) without prescription. This appears to be an attempt to skew the risk analysis by administrative fiat.


11. WHEREFORE, I respectfully request that this Court issue a Temporary Restraining Order that will preclude operation of the LHC until I, yagara (herbal viagra) overnight shipping, my associates, the scientific community, Yagara (herbal viagra) alternative, the risk assessment community, and the public have had the opportunity and a reasonable time period to review and analyze the CERN safety report that defendants are presently preparing, and which was originally scheduled for release prior to January 1, 2008, yagara (herbal viagra) approved, and since delayed.


DATED: March 8, 2008



__________________________


James R. Yagara (herbal viagra) india, Blodgett




NOTARIZATION



Before me, the undersigned Notary, today appeared James R. Blodgett, buy yagara (herbal viagra) on line, known to me to be the person whose name is subscribed to the foregoing instrument, who being by me first duly sworn on his oath, deposes and says the text of this affidavit on this eighth day of March, 2008.




____________________________


Notary Public, State of New York




____________________________


(Typed or Printed Name of Notary)





My commission expires: ______________ [seal]


[Note: the Notary will sign and affix his/her notary seal, which should include the state where issued, and the expiration date.].

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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

 

Buy cialis super active+ without prescription, Customarily science is left alone to do it's thing in the spirit of innovation and progress.  Normally, if you want to stop a scientific experiment, you have to prove an absolute risk beyond a reasonable doubt.  But under certain circumstances, this custom must be reversed.  And under these circumstances, it is science that must prove absolute safety beyond a reasonable doubt.  This circumstance is when the cost of failure nears infinity, and then the expected value of the experiment soars to near negative infinity, even with only a small probability of danger.

 

This concept is called the Precautionary Principle.  It is a widely accepted principle on the issue of Global Risks.  James Blodgett has been studying Global Risks, and in particular the LHC, for more than 8 years.  He has three graduate degrees and though he is not a physicist, his overall understanding of this issue rivals almost any physicist who has spent the last 8 years focused only on specific areas of physics.  In fact, there are very few physicists with a broad enough scope of knowledge to cover the topics of concern surrounding the LHC better than James Blodgett.

 

James' approach to this issue centers on the Precautionary Principle, and formulating solid arguments for it's application with the LHC.  His knowledge as a statistician and his gift of deductive reasoning have helped make a case that CERN is now having to address.  You will read below that James credits Dr. Walter L, cialis super active+ overnight delivery. Buy cialis super active+ from india, Wagner as the Founding Father of this field.  But if Wagner is like George Washington, then Blodgett is John Adams, cheapest cialis super active+ online, Cialis super active+ tablet, or perhaps Thomas Jefferson (he may prefer to be Jefferson).

 

Currently James is speaking about the LHC to a conference on Global Risks.  But over the past month he has made several important posts on another website.  This section is a collection of those posts, which deserve to see much more light than they were getting buried in a vast and confusing forum.  So if you have already read this far, order cialis super active+ from us, Cialis super active+ online without prescription, please read all of James Blodgett's posts below.  They are well worth the effort.

 

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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

Buy female cialis without prescription, "CommonSenseStopNow" invokes the possibility of unexpected and dangerous things happening at the LHC. Order female cialis cheap online, I agree. The point of the LHC is to explore new territory, buy female cialis cheap. Female cialis online cheap, It is typical that every time science gets a new instrument and looks at things that have not been seen before, it discovers new things that were not expected, female cialis no prescription. Female cialis canada, An indication that the set of all possible theories about what happens at the LHC has not been explored well is the extent to which purported safety factors have changed in the last few years. In 2000 the safety factor was the "fact" that black hole production required energy beyond the reach of any collider [Busza], buy female cialis without prescription. In 2001 some theorists began predicting black hole production at colliders (if their theory is true.) [[Dimopoulos], buy female cialis no rx, Buy cheapest female cialis, [Giddings] and many others] In 2003 the safety factor was the "fact" that black holes would dissipate via Hawking radiation. In 2003 and later papers were published that questioned the fundamental theory behind Hawking radiation, buy female cialis us. Discount female cialis no rx, [Unruh],[Helfer] (Hawking radiation may still work despite these questions, female cialis online stores, Female cialis without a prescription, but it can no longer be considered reliable enough to protect Earth.) Another 2003 safety factor was the "fact" that a group of strangelets would be electrically positive on their surface and not attract normal matter. [Blaizot] In 2006 a paper was published saying that strangelets can be electrically negative on their surface, no rx female cialis. Buy female cialis without prescription, [Peng] Now it appears that a third safety report is about to be released claiming that neutron star lifetimes show that colliders are safe. Pharmacy female cialis, If we hurry up with our discussion at "An Attempt to Demonstrate That Risks are Low" under "General Physics Discussions" on this website, we may beat the record and demonstrate that argument to be wrong even before it is released, discount female cialis online. Female cialis for sale, References, alphabetical by first author:

J.-P, cheap price female cialis. Canadian pharmacy female cialis, Blaizot, J, buy female cialis online cheap. Female cialis information, Iliopoulos, J, buy female cialis in us. Madsen, G.G, buy female cialis without prescription. Order female cialis no prescription, Ross, P, female cialis india. Buy female cialis online, Sonderegger, and H.-J, find female cialis on internet. Female cialis cheap drug, Specht, "Study Of Potentially Dangerous Events During Heavy-Ion Collisions At The LHC: Report Of The LHC Safety Study Group" CERN, overnight female cialis, Buy female cialis internet, 2003

W. Busza, female cialis from canada, Low cost female cialis, R.L. Buy female cialis without prescription, Jaffe, J. Sandweiss, cheap female cialis tablets, Buying female cialis online, and F. Wilczek; "Review of Speculative ‘Disaster Scenarios' Brookhaven, compare female cialis prices online, Female cialis, 2000

Savas Dimopoulos and Greg Landsberg, "Black holes at the Large Hadron Collider, buy female cialis generic, Lowest price for female cialis, " Physical Review Letters, 87(16) 161602, buy female cialis in canada, Purchase female cialis, (2001).

Steven Giddings and Scott Thomas, purchase female cialis overnight delivery, Cheap female cialis from uk, "High energy colliders as black hole factories: the end of short-distance physics," Physical Review D 65(5) (2002) 056010, female cialis without prescription.

Adam D. Helfer, "Do black holes radiate?" Reports on Progress in Physics, buy female cialis without prescription. Vol. 66 No. 6 (2003) pp. 943-1008. Buy female cialis without prescription, Questions the existence of Hawking radiation.

G. X. Peng, X. J. Wen, Y, buy female cialis without prescription. D. Chen, New solutions for the color-Favor locked strangelets Physics Letters B 633 (2006) 314-318.

William G. Unruh and Ralf Schützhold, "On the Universality of the Hawking Effect," Physics Review D 71(2005) 024028.

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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

Buy tramadol without prescription, I have been thinking about your question about criteria. There are two things I would like to see in order to be happy, tramadol tablets. Tramadol pharmacy, I would like to see good reasons to think that the probability of "trouble" (a nicer expression than "destruction of Earth") is quite low. For me that probability does not need to be as low as the very low probability required by [Adrian Kent "A critical look at risk assessments for global catastrophes, cost tramadol, Tramadol vendors, " Risk Analysis, Vol, tramadol australia. Order tramadol online, 24, No, cheap tramadol no rx. 1, 2004] This is because there is also a low probability of a transcendent discovery that could save humanity, buy tramadol without prescription. Cheap tramadol, However, it is difficult to demonstrate very low probabilities, buy tramadol once daily, Order discount tramadol online, and even more difficult to balance them. Any demonstration of a very low probability is suspect, tramadol bangkok, Buy tramadol lowest price, since the probability that the model is wrong is usually higher. At least we need to study the issue very carefully, order tramadol on internet. Find cheap tramadol online, In order to study the issue carefully, I would like to see a fair and appropriate methodology for addressing the issue, tramadol discount. Buy tramadol without prescription, Saying "black holes will not eat you" and setting up a committee to "monitor speculations" does not inspire confidence. Discount tramadol overnight delivery, However, Mangano seemed to be serious about his job, tramadol online, Find discount tramadol online, although his preliminary talk at Berkeley had good and bad aspects and is not yet convincing. Thought experiments involving compact matter are generally considered speculative, tablet tramadol, Tramadol online without a prescription, requiring verification from observation. I await the report of his committee, tramadol professional. Tramadol cheap, Meanwhile peer review is hardly an appropriate as a way of vetting that report. Physicists anxious to publish may come to see peer review as a gold standard, but it is only a method of keeping obvious errors from publication and it does that only moderately well, buy tramadol without prescription. CERN's avoidance of more appropriate protocols for vetting the report suggests that they know they will lose if the game is not fixed, tramadol free delivery. Buy tramadol pills, In this case CERN appears to be stacking the deck with peer reviewers known to think that colliders are safe. Meanwhile, order tramadol no prescription required, Tramadol buy drug, outside experts are kept in the dark about report contents, and apparently will not get a chance to comment until CERN has made up its mind, online pharmacy tramadol. No prescription tramadol, Real environmental assessment protocols include solicitation of public comments, with adequate time for the public to study the issue, generic tramadol cheap. Buy tramadol without prescription, In addition, best practices include use of experts from more than one discipline--in this case it would be helpful to have ethicists, risk assessment experts, and astronomers who are experts in neutron stars. Buy discount tramadol, Experts in these subjects are not just window dressing--there appear to be risk assessment issues that physicists in general and Mangano in particular do not understand. I fear that CERN will have a rubber stamp peer review committee declare the LHC to be safe, low price tramadol, Tramadol from india, and then fire it up before others have a chance to study the issue. This is not an appropriate way to handle an issue of this importance, cheap tramadol from canada. Buy cheap tramadol, Science can handle these things well. As models, buy cheapest tramadol online, Cheap tramadol online, I point to the Asilomar process and the precautionary principle. (At Asilomar, tramadol buy online, Price of tramadol, biologists agreed to limits on dangerous experiments, limits that allowed most experiments to continue.) It is disappointing when science falls short of these models, tramadol free sample. Buy tramadol no prescription required.

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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

Here James Blodgett is debating with a physicist from CERN on the topics which are assumed to be the focus of the soon-to-be-released LSAG safety report:

I say:

Buy levitra without prescription, Relativistic strangelets are torn apart when they hit a neutron star, or a planet, and are converted into normal matter.

You answer:

There is nothing whatsoever in physics that would make this happen. It doesn't matter whether or not the strangelet is "relativistic", cheapest levitra, Find levitra, because it is only relativistic relative to some frames of reference. The entire point of the strangelet is that it is more stable (theoretically) than ordinary matter, levitra online sales, Levitra no rx required, and hence would never be reconverted. So this counter-argument is not sensible.

Here is what the RHIC safety study has to say about it:

strangelets produced with even relatively low rapidity in the lunar rest frame do not survive subsequent collisions with nuclei in the lunar soil, lowest price levitra. Cheap levitra pharmacy, [from W. Busza, R.L, buy levitra without prescription. Jaffe, levitra in uk, Levitra pills, J. Sandweiss, find no rx levitra, Cheapest generic levitra online, and F. Wilczek; "Review of Speculative ‘Disaster Scenarios' Brookhaven, buy levitra canada, Real levitra without prescription, 2000, p.22.]

"Not surviving collisions with nuclei" is what I mean when I say they are "torn apart", levitra overnight. Best price for levitra, Busza et al say that this happens even with relatively low rapidity, so I assume that it will also happen with high rapidity, levitra in australia. Buy levitra without prescription, I suppose that you could be correct and the Busza paper wrong. Levitra for order, However, in the face of a citation like this, buy levitra online australia, Levitra non prescription, you need to provide better evidence for your assertion. Until that time, cheap levitra no prescription, Buy levitra, I classify your assertion as not yet demonstrated.

You say:

One piece of information: The escape velocity of a neutron star is a very large speed, levitra side effects, Buy levitra low price, already relativistic (something around 50% of the speed of light).

Okay, but consider a micro black hole (of any velocity) about to enter a neutron star from well outside, levitra online review. Find levitra without prescription, In this position, it has all of the potential energy of a fall from well outside to the center, order discount levitra. That is exactly the energy required to carry it to the symmetrical point on the other side of the star, buy levitra without prescription. Levitra prescription, This is in addition to the energy of its intrinsic velocity. So (assuming no collisions) when it gets out of the star it still has the velocity it had when it entered, levitra pill. Levitra drug, This is basically true whatever the escape velocity (until an event horizon forms). The exit arm of a hyperbola of a comet rounding a star looks exactly the same as the entrance arm, levitra pharmacy online. Buy levitra without prescription, In the case of a black hole it can dip into the star and still get a similar hyperbola. Generic levitra, Also note my assertion that almost all black holes will be relativistic, so the velocity when they get out is still relativistic, get levitra. Levitra cheapest price, The other case is when a cosmic ray hits a neutron star particle and forms a micro black hole. In this case I assert that the micro black hole will always be relativistic and I conjecture that it will always exit the neutron star, buy levitra on line. Cheap generic levitra, It might be possible to show calculations that prove me wrong.

You say that a neutron star is dense, buy levitra without prescription. You also say:

If black holes interact so weakly that they would pass through a neutron star unaffected (more or less) then they pose no threat to us, order no rx levitra, Find levitra online, even if they are stable.

Regarding density, canadian levitra, Certified levitra, I understand that the collision of consequence is the collision with the quarks. Even at nuclear density, levitra in us, Discount levitra without prescription, quarks are widely spaced. A neutrino can traverse a light year of lead. Buy levitra without prescription, I conjecture that a neutrino (or a micro black hole) can traverse a few kilometers of neutronium. A micro black hole is even more likely to traverse, since when it hits a particle it accretes and slows slightly rather than stopping. I could be wrong. I await calculations that show that I am wrong. I await calculations that prove your point about neutron-star-traversing black holes posing no threat.

It is appropriate that I ask for calculations, buy levitra without prescription. By the precautionary principle, it is up to advocates of a dangerous activity (i.e. you) to prove that it is safe. This is not just tree-hugger anti-science philosophy. It makes sense in most plausible risk contexts. Buy levitra without prescription, Consider the opposite. Consider that opponents have to prove that an activity is dangerous by the standards of normal science, the standards required for publication. Now suppose that I have a reasonable reason to question the safety of a passenger airplane. Suppose even that an evaluation of data suggests a 20% chance that the data shows that the airplane will crash. I have not proved that the airplane will crash by the standards of statistical significance. Therefore should the airplane be approved for flight, buy levitra without prescription. Do you want to ride on that airplane. The precautionary principle is accepted by risk experts, and I think we should accept it here. So the burden of proof is on you (or CERN).

You say that the LSAG report will develop limits on how fast a micro black hole can accrete based on neutron star considerations. Buy levitra without prescription, I agree that this could be a productive approach. However, this still leaves us waiting for the LSAG report. (I'll bet we get no more than a month or two to evaluate that report before LSAG startup, and no official avenue for objections if we find valid reasons to object.) I have asserted that a black hole would almost never remain in a neutron star, and you have not yet shown that I am wrong. You conjecture that a black hole that can traverse a neutron star accretes so slowly that it is no threat. This could be true but it is not yet demonstrated. There are a bunch of models for black hole accretion. They vary by orders of magnitude in the time to swallow Earth. I very much hope that the LSAG considers all of these models, demonstrates that the models are exhaustive, and refutes all of the fast ones.

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Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

Buy levitra jelly without prescription, James Blodgett is giving a presentation this week at the Second World Congress on Risk.  This is the abstract.

Risk Analysis Under Adversarial Conditions

Risk analysis can develop adversarial elements, levitra jelly us. Order levitra jelly, Those proposing an activity have an interest in showing it to be safe. Those exposed to risks have an interest in finding those risks, levitra jelly buy. Levitra jelly malaysia, Some risk analysis tools fail under adversarial conditions, since estimates of risk have subjective elements about which adversaries can disagree, cheap levitra jelly from usa. The precautionary principle addresses this issue, but has philosophical and practical difficulties, buy levitra jelly without prescription. Buy cheapest levitra jelly on line, A recent case study highlights the difficulties. Particle colliders were thought to be very safe, levitra jelly no rx, Levitra jelly in bangkok, but several safety factors eroded. Nevertheless, cheapest levitra jelly price, Levitra jelly price, application of best practices risk methodologies was strongly resisted. Proposed solutions include special courts (proposed by Judge Richard Posner, buy cheap levitra jelly online, Buy levitra jelly on internet, ) and red team/blue team methodology (proposed by Sir Martin Rees and Francesco Calogero.)

--------
I am adding another solution, Carolyn Raffensperger's court-appointed advocates for the future, online levitra jelly. Buy levitra jelly without prescription, I will have handout material on several aspects. Buy levitra jelly from canada, I would like to see development of even better solutions and even better protocols.

If anyone has ideas for improving these protocols, discount levitra jelly, Buy discount levitra jelly online, I would be interested. Consider how protocols would apply to issues other than the one being debated on this website, levitra jelly online sale. Compare levitra jelly prices, For example, suppose the nanotech folks propose self-replicating nanobots, free levitra jelly, Order cheap levitra jelly online, or the AI folks propose a computer that transcends human intelligence, or (on a more mundane level) a liquid natural gas terminal is proposed for Boston harbor (to receive shiploads of liquid natural gas--think megatons.) How should we vet these things, levitra jelly online pharmacy. Buy levitra jelly online without prescription, How do we balance the risks and the benefits. How do we quantify risks if advocates and opponents present reasons to estimate them as quite different numbers, buy no rx levitra jelly. Levitra jelly sales. Buy levitra jelly lowest price. Discount levitra jelly without prescription. Levitra jelly buy online. Best price levitra jelly. Levitra jelly online without prescription. Buy levitra jelly low price. Buy levitra jelly internet. Compare levitra jelly prices online. Real levitra jelly without prescription. Lowest price levitra jelly. Order discount levitra jelly online. Buy levitra jelly in canada. Levitra jelly online sale. Levitra jelly purchase. Find no rx levitra jelly. Approved levitra jelly pharmacy.

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Buy Soma Without Prescription

Tuesday, June 10th, 2008

Buy soma without prescription, [Someone] has raised the specter of unfounded fears. Soma tablets, As a counselor she has reason to help people overcome fears. Let us put that in the moral balance with unfounded reassurances, buy cheapest soma. Discount soma overnight delivery, Unfounded fears may give a few folks sleepless nights. Unfounded reassurances may kill 6.5 billion people, cheap soma internet, Buy soma online without prescription, plus all of our hopes for the future. I suppose that one could weight probabilities to put that in balance, but it would take a very disparate weighting of probabilities, buy soma without prescription.

The best solution is to found both our fears and our reassurances, buy cheap soma internet. Soma rx, On the fear side:
I personally think that some folks overstate the probability of trouble. The theories that enable trouble seem to be a small subset of the set of all possible theories, soma no rx required. Soma online review, However, there are respectable theories that enable trouble, fda approved soma, Soma tablet, so the space of the subset is hardly zero, or even the one in billions that collider advocates tout, soma no prescription. Buy soma without prescription, "Whitegoddess" wants to know how "it can all go wrong." That is simple. Order soma no prescription required, A black hole is created at CERN, as predicted by some theories, soma online. Soma in australia, It does not dissipate via Hawking radiation. This failure to dissipate is predicted by some physics papers, soma alternative. Cheap soma tablets, It them begins to slowly accrete particles. This accretion increases exponentially, with the increase in size of the black hole, buy soma without prescription. In a few years (or a few billion, online pharmacy soma, Soma online pharmacy, depending on the theory) it swallows Earth.

Now, certified soma, Order soma overnight delivery, some of the steps here are perhaps unlikely. I have not personally stopped planning for the future, soma free delivery. Online soma, However, a passenger airplane with these prospects would not be allowed to fly, cheap soma pill. Buy soma without prescription, Earth has 6.5 billion passengers. Cheapest soma online, I think that a small amount of fear is not inappropriate here. Would Whitegoddess want to cure fear of tigers so that small children pet tigers in the zoo, buy soma no rx. Soma pill, But let us not have inappropriate fear. On some days the tigers are not hungry, cheap soma in uk.

On the reassurance side:
If one is going to give reassurances, they must be grounded in safety factors, buy soma without prescription. Buy generic soma online, The safety factors that collider advocates claim have tended to erode. In 1999, soma cost, Soma information, the main safety factor was that black hole formation required energy beyond the reach of any collider. Then some string theorists began predicting creation of black holes at colliders, buy soma online australia. Soma for order, I concede that their theories are speculative, but since there are multiple published papers with more or less reasonable theories grounded in attractive conjecture, order soma in us, Discount soma online, we have to assign at least a small probability to the possibility that they may be right. Buy soma without prescription, In 2003 the safety factor was Hawking radiation, which would dissipate the black holes that collider advocates now conceded might be created. (Indeed they looked forward to the opportunity to study black holes.) Then published papers pointed out problems with the fundamental theory behind Hawking radiation, soma overnight delivery. Order soma no prescription, This does not prove that Hawking radiation will not work, but again given published papers we must assign some reasonable probability to that possibility, free soma. Buy discount soma online, Now an analogy between colliders and cosmic rays is supposed to demonstrate safety. Collider opponents have pointed out ways in which that analogy is inexact, order generic soma. Some folks seem to assume that collider opponents must be wrong simply because they are so wrongheaded as to oppose colliders, but Michelangelo Mangano, a member of CERN's Large Hadron Collider Safety Analysis Group, at a recent talk at Berkeley, discussed problems with using "cosmic rays hitting the Earth" to rule out black holes and agreed with many of the points made by collider opponents, buy soma without prescription.

If you want to say that colliders are safe, it seems morally imperative to have good reasons for saying so. Mangano's group will issue a report soon. Let us hope that they have good safety factors this time. Meanwhile, folks keep claiming the old safety factors. The practice of claiming safety factors that those claiming should know are not good if they did a minimal literature review seems the moral equivalent of not checking one's brakes when driving a truck loaded with plutonium (deadly if released in the atmosphere, a potential atom bomb if the plutonium shifts around.) Oh, but I am raising unfounded fears. The truck probably will not crash.

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Buy Propecia Without Prescription

Tuesday, June 10th, 2008

Buy propecia without prescription, You ask good questions. You ask me to explain the sources for the following chain of dangerous events:

1) A black hole is created at CERN, as predicted by some theories, propecia pills.

The following two papers predict black holes at CERN. Cheapest propecia prices, These were followed by dozens of other papers making the same prediction.

Savas Dimopoulos and Greg Landsberg, "Black holes at the Large Hadron Collider, lowest price for propecia," Physical Review Letters, Propecia no online prescription, 87(16) 161602, (2001).

Steven Giddings and Scott Thomas, "High energy colliders as black hole factories: the end of short-distance physics, cheapest generic propecia," Physical Review D 65(5) (2002) 056010.

CERN itself considered the possibility of black hole production in the following paper. This paper predicts that black holes will dissipate by "thermal processes," which in this context means Hawking radiation, buy propecia without prescription. Drug propecia online purchase, J.-P. Blaizot, J, cheapest propecia price. Iliopoulos, Propecia order, J. Madsen, G.G, buy propecia generic. Buy propecia without prescription, Ross, P. Sonderegger, Buy propecia without prescription, and H.-J. Specht, "Study Of Potentially Dangerous Events During Heavy-Ion Collisions At The LHC: Report Of The LHC Safety Study Group" CERN, propecia in bangkok, 2003. Order propecia on internet,

2) The black hole does not dissipate via Hawking radiation. This failure to dissipate is predicted by some physics papers.

The following two papers question the fundamental theory behind Hawking radiation, buy propecia without prescription.

Adam D, propecia prescription. Helfer, Propecia free sample, "Do black holes radiate?" Reports on Progress in Physics. Vol. 66 No, buy propecia on line. Buy propecia without prescription, 6 (2003) pp. 943-1008.

William G. Propecia internet, Unruh and Ralf Schützhold, "On the Universality of the Hawking Effect," Physics Review D 71(2005) 024028.

3) The black hole then begins to slowly accrete particles, order propecia cheap online. This accretion increases exponentially, Propecia australia, with the increase in mass and size of the black hole. In a few years (or a few billion, depending on the theory) it swallows Earth.

You don't want me to mention Roessler, order propecia no rx, but he has the only published work that I know of on this topic. Wouldn't you be more comfortable if something this serious had been studied in more detail, buy propecia without prescription. Propecia buy, I know of another Ph.D. physicist who also calculated that a collider-created black hole could eat earth in a few years, but his work has not been published, propecia without prescription. I had a posted debate with Landsberg where he made an offhand estimate that accretion would take a very long time, Propecia malaysia, but that was not published in a peer-reviewed journal. Others also say that it would take a very long time. Buy propecia without prescription, Until there is more peer reviewed work on this topic, we really don't know what would happen, but at least some physicists calculate rapid accretion.

You also ask: "who are those theorists and how do they know 'precisely' what is going on at CERN, propecia india. Do they or are they involved in the project. Compare propecia prices, Are they as qualified as those who do?"

All of these theorists know the published design energy specifications for CERN collisions. Their predictions are based on those specifications. Unruh is a top specialist in quantum gravity, buy propecia without prescription. Landsberg has a top reputation, tablet propecia. Helfer is thought to be pretty competent. Cost propecia, I believe that all authors of papers I have cited are Ph.D. physicists. Buy propecia without prescription, However, you are asking the wrong question. The issue is not who is the most competent, find discount propecia online. The issue is whether any are total crackpots who we should dismiss out of hand. Purchase propecia, Any who are not total crackpots just might be correct. In the case of the safety of Earth, we do not want to dismiss a warning just because it was issued by the number three guy, buy propecia in us. In the case of the space shuttle challenger disaster, the engineer who warned of o-ring problems was not the lead engineer, buy propecia without prescription.

Are you familiar with the precautionary principle. Where to order propecia, The precautionary principle reverses the burden of proof in cases of scientific risk. Normally scientific publication requires good evidence that one's theories are true. For example, cheap propecia from canada, the standard for publication is statistical significance, Propecia side effects, meaning loosely that the probability that the data shows the observed effect is at least 95 percent. Buy propecia without prescription, (Some statisticians would quibble with this wording, but I have an MS in statistics, and I will defend it.) Now imagine applying this standard for proof to a risky activity. For example, the probability that the airplane will crash is only 50 percent, propecia without rx. We haven't proved that it will crash, Buy cheap propecia online, so we will approve it to fly. Would you want to fly on that airplane. The precautionary principle reverses the burden of proof in cases of risk, order no rx propecia. Instead of requiring that risks be proved, the precautionary principle requires that those who propose a risky activity prove that it is safe, buy propecia without prescription. The precautionary principle is accepted by many risk specialists. Discount propecia no rx, I bring up the precautionary principle because the spirit of your questions is to try to prove what is most likely to happen, in this case by consulting the most qualified specialists. In this case the thing that is most likely to happen is that CERN will turn out to be safe, propecia drug. The precautionary principle, Cheap generic propecia, on the other hand, tells us to worry about things that might not happen. Buy propecia without prescription, Remember our risky airplane. It is most likely that it will not crash, cheap propecia from usa. It is most likely that the tiger is not hungry today. Find discount propecia, We are talking about possible destruction of Earth here. I think most rational people want that to be very unlikely to happen. If there is a serious reason to think it might happen, that is of concern, even if the serious reason comes from someone who is not the top scientist at CERN. In fact, CERN's Chief Scientific Officer, Jos Engelen, was recently quoted in the New Yorker as instructing CERN scientists to say that the risk is zero. Should we simply salute and accept that. As a statistician I can tell you that a zero probability doesn't make sense.

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Buy Xenical Without Prescription

Tuesday, June 10th, 2008

Buy xenical without prescription, [Someone] asked me to respond to several arguments for collider safety. I am quite familiar with two of them. Two are sort of new, purchase xenical no rx. They may even be definitive. Xenical pharmacy online, I appreciate the chance to think about them.

1, buy xenical without prescription. If the LHC can create micro black holes, cosmic rays have been doing it for years and years, xenical cheapest price.
2. Find xenical on internet, If these micro black holes are stable, we are awash in them because cosmic rays are producing them.

A cosmic ray hitting an earth particle and creating a black hole is an example of an inelastic collision. Another example is two billiard balls that hit and stick together, buy xenical canada. Buy xenical without prescription, If one billiard ball is moving rapidly (the cosmic ray) and the other is stationary (the earth particle) the resulting black hole would retain the momentum of the cosmic ray. A cosmic ray that can create a black hole has a lot of momentum. Price of xenical, The resulting black hole would be relativistic, that is, it would be moving at a substantial fraction of the speed of light, buying xenical online. There are reasons to think micro black holes would interact with matter at rates not greatly exceeding the rates of neutrinos. No rx xenical, Neutrinos can zip right through earth, and right through a star. Very few hit anything, buy xenical without prescription. Hitting something will stop a neutrino, cheap xenical from uk, but not a black hole. Xenical no rx, A black hole will only accrete the particle it hits, slow minutely, and keep right on going, where to buy xenical. A relativistic black hole would have to accrete thousands of particles to slow below escape velocity from earth. Xenical buy drug, The binomial probability of this many accretions ever happening (given that a single accretion is improbable), even in trillions of cases during the billions of years of the existence of the earth, is vanishingly small, cheap xenical. Buy xenical without prescription, On the other hand, black holes produced by colliders are produced by two particles moving in opposite directions. Their momenta cancel, Get xenical, so they can be moving at zero velocity. Actually the collision of consequence is the collision of the quarks, which have large and randomly directed energy, cheap xenical pharmacy. Quark energy would rarely cancel precisely, Buying generic xenical, so most collider-created black holes would also be moving at faster than escape velocity from earth. However, a few would not be moving that fast, xenical in uk. They would travel in orbits that repeatedly intersect earth, buy xenical without prescription. If they were slow enough, Xenical in us, they would travel in orbits within the earth. Instead of zipping through earth in a few seconds, they would have forever to accrete, order cheap xenical online.

Most of the matter in the galaxy is moving at astronomical, Cheapest xenical, but not relativistic, velocity with respect to earth. Unless a cosmic ray collides with the minute fraction of matter that is moving at relativistic velocity, best price for xenical, in exactly the opposite direction, Canadian pharmacy xenical, resulting black holes would still be relativistic. Buy xenical without prescription, Therefore only a minuscule fraction of natural cosmic-ray-created black holes in the entire galaxy would be moving at less than relativistic velocity with respect to earth. Slow black holes created in other galaxies would not have time to reach earth. Even if a slow micro black hole did approach the solar system, xenical sale, in most cases it would zip around the sun like a comet and return to deep space. Xenical canada, Even if its orbit intersected earth, it would only spend a few minutes within earth, not enough to slow it down, cheap price xenical.

We call this the collider/cosmic ray analogy. It appears to be a false analogy, buy xenical without prescription. Xenical online sales, Mangano from CERN's Large Hadron Collider Safety Analysis Group discussed these problems with the analogy in his recent talk at Berkeley, and agreed with most of them.

3, find xenical no prescription required. Neutron stars are much more heavy and dense, Buy discount xenical, and so would collect them faster, and inside of them the miniblack holes would accrete matter much faster.
4, xenical from india. Buy xenical without prescription, Neutron stars are long lived, so these stable black holes are doing it no harm. (from this, Order xenical online, we can actually set upper bounds on how fast black holes can possibly accrete matter in a worst case scenario). 5. This worst case scenario shows the LHC to be absolutely safe in a worst case scenario, purchase xenical overnight delivery.

The neutron star argument is relatively new. I have not had time to review it completely, and I am neither a physicist nor an astronomer, buy xenical without prescription. Discount xenical, We will have to work on this one. It may be the definitive safety factor that collider advocates (and all of us really) would love to see.

However, cheap xenical without prescription, the argument has obvious problems. Buy xenical overnight delivery, Neutrinos easily transit stars. Buy xenical without prescription, Neutron stars are generally formed in supernovas. The core of the star becomes a neutron star, and the outer layers of the star are blown away, cheap xenical no rx. Therefore neutron stars have less mass than their parent stars. Cost of xenical, Therefore a line through a neutron star is less likely to intersect mass than a line through a star. Therefore a neutron star is less likely to stop a black hole than its parent star. Astronomers, am I right about this, buy xenical without prescription. And, buy xenical cheap, as I say above, Generic xenical online, almost all natural black holes are traveling at relativistic speeds. Therefore they do not spend much time inside neutron stars.

The question above claims a bunch of facts, generic xenical cheap. Do we know them for sure. Buy xenical without prescription, Since my group needs to work on this issue, I would appreciate citations. Cheap xenical in canada, It is not only a matter of appreciate. Proper scientific discussion requires citation or demonstration. If you don't have citations you lose the argument. But for me right now, the citations are more important than the argument, and I would appreciate them.

Let us go through your claims, buy xenical without prescription.

Neutron stars are long lived. If I am right above, this is as expected. However, how do we know this fact. Suppose an occasional neutron star does capture a black hole and explode. (I am assuming that the core is accreted, and the resulting energy blows off the outer layers.) We see many cosmic ray bursts. Buy xenical without prescription, How do we know some are not exploding neutron stars. There may be a reason, but again my model is not ruled out if all neutron stars are long lived.

We can set upper limits on how fast black holes can accrete mater. What are those limits. Does their calculation assume slow black holes. I would appreciate citations.

This worst case scenario shows the LHC to be absolutely safe in a worst case scenario. I really do hope that this is true, buy xenical without prescription. But it needs to be demonstrated.

One similar argument that was cited by Mangano in his recent presentation at Berkeley is contained in [Dar, De Rujula, Heinz,http://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ph/9910471] They discuss strangelets being swept up in star formation. This would take millions of years. Therefore their scenario is applicable only if strangelets are stable for long periods. Buy xenical without prescription, But strangelets are thought to be unstable. They even say that strangelets are unstable in their own paper. This alone seems to completely refute their argument. They also talk of a star being entirely converted into a strange remnant, and assert that this would produce a signature that is more energetic than a typical supernova. In a typical supernova, an energetic process in the core blows off the outer layers. They do not explain why the outer layers would not be blown off in the case of a strangelet-conversion supernova. If this does happen, the signature would not be more energetic. It appears that they are wrong twice.

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Buy Prozac Without Prescription

Tuesday, June 10th, 2008

Buy prozac without prescription, I have seen collider advocates ... assume that anyone who questions colliders must be a nut. Buy prozac no prescription required, When they find a collider opponent who asks tough questions, some take their ball and go home.

[These] questions seem quite legitimate to me.., prozac.

[The] most serious challenge is to Walter Wagner. I rise to defend him, buy prozac without prescription. Cheap prozac in usa, I know the details. I donated the first money he ever got. I think he started his LHC Defense because of my donation, cheap prozac on internet.

Walter is the founding father of this field of thought. Buy prozac without prescription, In 1999 he had a letter to the editor published in Scientific American, a letter that rather gently questioned whether the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, which was then being built at Brookhaven, might be dangerous. Order cheap prozac, This started an earlier version of the present media flap. Brookhaven managed to turn off the flap by issuing a report by a group of physicists that considered black holes, strangelets, prozac uk, and transition to a lower vacuum state, Buy no rx prozac, and gave what appeared to be strong reasons not to worry. This successfully convinced most people and turned off the media flap. (Unfortunately, prozac for sale, the reasons they gave not to worry did not age well. They said that black hole creation required energy beyond the reach of any collider, buy prozac without prescription. Canada prozac, Now black hole production is predicted by some theories. They also said that a collection of strangelets would be electrically positive on its surface and therefore not attract normal matter. A recent physics paper says they can be electrically negative on their surface.)

Walter also tried a lawsuit at that time, buy prozac from india, but did not pursue it. Prozac medicine, I learned about this issue in 2000. Buy prozac without prescription, I read a popular article in Scientific American that predicted black hole production at colliders. This article said that Hawking radiation would immediately dissipate black holes. I knew a bit about Hawking radiation, order discount prozac. One thing I knew about it is that it has never been seen--scientists have never gotten close enough to a black hole to be able to see it. Prozac cheap, As a statistician I had been working with low probability risk, so I was quite aware of the logic behind the precautionary principle. This seemed an important place to apply that logic, buy prozac without prescription.

I tried writing a letter to the editor, prozac online without a prescription. It was not published. Low cost prozac, I tried writing other things that were also not published. Editors had learned from the Brookhaven flap that there was no problem. Buy prozac without prescription, Eventually I helped to set up two websites, http://www.risk-evaluation-forum.org and http://www.global-risk-sig.org. As I studied the history of the issue I learned about Walter's letter, buy prozac. I tried to call him once, Overnight prozac, but he was out. A year or so later, I was impressed when he contacted me via email, cheap prozac online. He, Find prozac online, I and a few others became part of a small group of collider opponents who exchanged email for a couple of years. As an indication of the level of the group, I was the only one who did not have some kind of doctorate--I only had three master's degrees, buy prozac without prescription. One was a Ph.D. physicist, sale prozac, another a global risk expert. Generic prozac, We tried a lot of things to try to put the collider issue back on the public agenda. We tried to publish papers, letters to the editor, prozac online stores, open letters. Buy prozac without prescription, We applied for grant funds. Cheap prozac tablet, We wrote to top scientists. Nothing seemed to work. (Actually, cheapest generic prozac online, I am not sure but have reason to believe that one of the top scientists we contacted helped convince CERN to set up their current Large Hadron Collider Safety Analysis Group.) Finally one day Walter spoke of filing another lawsuit. Prozac in malaysia, He said he would prefer to hire a lawyer, but could file the suit himself. However, even that would cost several thousand dollars in expenses, buy prozac without prescription. I immediately gave him $1, prozac approved,000, Buy prozac pills, and another member of the group did likewise.

I have great respect for Walter. He has worked on the collider issue for years, buying prozac, and can write well about it. Buy prozac online, He is basically a nice guy. Buy prozac without prescription, He can also be a bit flaky at times. I knew that he had some legal problems. If I could find, buy prozac on internet, and pay for, Prozac bangkok, a better lawyer, I would hire that lawyer. Walter also would prefer to hire another lawyer, prozac price. It is not easy to find a lawyer to take this case. I have written to dozens of lawyers in Europe, and have yet to find one interested in taking the case there, buy prozac without prescription. Find prozac, Of course it would help if we had more money. Walter has been operating on a shoestring.

Whitegoddess disparages donating to the LHCdefense fund, prozac us. Yes, Buy prozac online cheap, at the moment I believe it goes directly into Walter's pocket. Buy prozac without prescription, He is operating on a shoestring. However I saw a letter he wrote to a potential donor in which he offered to set up a not-for-profit organization, if he could get help in setting up that organization, cheap prozac no prescription.
I also would like to set up a not-for-profit organization. Prozac overnight, I have looked into the procedures and the costs. There are legal, accounting, canadian prozac, and insurance costs. It can be done on a shoestring, but that takes work, and has problems, buy prozac without prescription. Find cheap prozac, Bylaws and a board of directors are required. I would be a bit uncomfortable volunteering to work on that board if there were no officers and directors liability insurance. Doing it right costs thousands of dollars, buy cheapest prozac online. If someone would like to donate those thousands (or donate the legal and accounting work) we can set up a not-for-profit organization to collect donations for this cause. Buy prozac without prescription, I volunteer to work for that organization, if it is done right. By now setting up this organization may take too much time since LHC startup is due soon, although such an organization could work on similar issues in the future. Another possibility is to get an existing not-for-profit, tax exempt organization to administer the money. (This is done fairly frequently in the world of grant funding.) Does anyone know of an organization that would be willing to do this for this issue. It is quite possible that someone here happens to belong to such an organization. Otherwise, there is something to be said for trusting Walter, buy prozac without prescription. If one doesn't trust Walter, I can suggest ways to spend money directly out of your own pocket, for specific things that would help.

I would like to have a better organization. To quote former defense secretary Rumsfeld, "You go to war with the army you've got, not the army you would like to have." Actually, our "army" (an important principle is that we are all independent intellectuals) is getting better all the time. For example, I am impressed with this website. But we do not have time to wait for our group to become perfect, or to even to address many of the legitimate problems that critics might point out.

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